Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000113 0.000124 0.000136 0.000149 0.000165 0.000181 0.000200
2025-12-21 0.000088 0.000103 0.000122 0.000144 0.000171 0.000203 0.000243
2025-12-28 0.000075 0.000093 0.000116 0.000145 0.000182 0.000229 0.000293
2026-01-04 0.000067 0.000086 0.000111 0.000146 0.000193 0.000254 0.000343
2026-01-11 0.000059 0.000079 0.000106 0.000144 0.000198 0.000272 0.000385
2026-01-18 0.000054 0.000074 0.000103 0.000144 0.000206 0.000295 0.000435
2026-01-25 0.000049 0.000069 0.000098 0.000142 0.000210 0.000310 0.000476
2026-02-01 0.000045 0.000066 0.000095 0.000142 0.000216 0.000330 0.000525
2026-02-08 0.000041 0.000061 0.000091 0.000140 0.000218 0.000343 0.000565
2026-02-15 0.000038 0.000057 0.000087 0.000137 0.000219 0.000354 0.000602
2026-02-22 0.000036 0.000055 0.000086 0.000138 0.000226 0.000377 0.000663
2026-03-01 0.000034 0.000054 0.000085 0.000140 0.000237 0.000405 0.000735
2026-03-08 0.000032 0.000051 0.000082 0.000138 0.000238 0.000418 0.000784
2026-03-15 0.000029 0.000047 0.000077 0.000132 0.000234 0.000423 0.000817
2026-03-22 0.000027 0.000045 0.000076 0.000133 0.000242 0.000448 0.000895
2026-03-29 0.000026 0.000044 0.000075 0.000134 0.000249 0.000475 0.000982
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.000042 0.000072 0.000132 0.000251 0.000492 0.001046
2026-04-12 0.000023 0.000040 0.000071 0.000133 0.000258 0.000518 0.001138
2026-04-19 0.000022 0.000039 0.000069 0.000131 0.000260 0.000533 0.001205
2026-04-26 0.000021 0.000037 0.000068 0.000131 0.000265 0.000557 0.001296
2026-05-03 0.000020 0.000035 0.000065 0.000128 0.000265 0.000570 0.001363
2026-05-10 0.000018 0.000034 0.000063 0.000126 0.000265 0.000580 0.001424
2026-05-17 0.000018 0.000033 0.000062 0.000127 0.000272 0.000611 0.001545